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Hot Seat Algorithm V1 • Live Community Consensus

College Football Hot Seat Radar

The official Hot Seat is driven by verified fan and booster votes, cross-referenced against each coach's Contract Job Stability and buyout liability.

How our Two-Axis Model and 5-Vote Qualification Threshold work →
Hot Seat Consensus Established
12 Coaches

Coaches who have met the official threshold of 5+ verified community votes.

Consensus Building
31 Coaches

Coaches with active community votes working toward the 5-vote qualification mark.

The "Golden Handcuffs" Club
19 Coaches

Coaches protected by $35M+ buyouts granting Level 5 Ironclad contract stability.

Coaching Carousel: Dismissed & Under Verification

Coaches who have been relieved of duties or placed on temporary removal pending multi-source confirmation.

Exercised Buyouts Database →
Dave Aranda🚨 Fired (1 Sources)
Baylor (Big 12) • 2026-10-25
$12,000,000
Buyout Owed
Dave Doeren🚨 Fired (7 Sources)
North Carolina State (ACC) • 2026-10-24
$13,129,456
Buyout Owed
Mike Locksley🚨 Fired (7 Sources)
Maryland (Big Ten) • 2026-10-21
$9,940,000
Buyout Owed
Phil Longo🚨 Fired (3 Sources)
Sam Houston (Group of 5) • 2026-10-28
$2,868,750
Buyout Owed

Official Hot Seat Radar (Qualified Consensus: ≥ 5 Votes)

Ranked by community net fan pressure (Hot vs. Safe votes) across verified voter fingerprints.

12 Qualified
UT
Scotty Walden
UTEP (Group of 5)
Boiling Hot Seat
Imminent Firing WatchHigh Critical Exposure

High fan pressure (100% Hot) combined with an accessible buyout ($1,541,667) makes a mid-season or postseason dismissal financially viable.

Fan Heat Level
100% Hot
6 Hot vs. 0 Safe
Contract Stability
Fragile Stability
$1,541,667 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
TU
Will Hall
Tulane (Group of 5)
Boiling Hot Seat
Balanced EquilibriumStandard Tension

Moderate job stability and balanced fan sentiment keep this coaching situation in watchful equilibrium.

Fan Heat Level
100% Hot
6 Hot vs. 0 Safe
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
$7,792,307 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
GE
Brent Key
Georgia Tech (ACC)
Boiling Hot Seat
Balanced EquilibriumStandard Tension

Moderate job stability and balanced fan sentiment keep this coaching situation in watchful equilibrium.

Fan Heat Level
100% Hot
5 Hot vs. 0 Safe
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
$11,123,333 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
CO
Deion Sanders
Colorado (Big 12)
Boiling Hot Seat
The Golden HandcuffsBuyout Lockdown

Fans strongly call for a coaching change (100% Hot), but the massive $33,625,000 buyout creates near-total contractual job stability.

Fan Heat Level
100% Hot
5 Hot vs. 0 Safe
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
$33,625,000 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
TR
Gerad Parker
Troy (Group of 5)
Boiling Hot Seat
Imminent Firing WatchHigh Critical Exposure

High fan pressure (100% Hot) combined with an accessible buyout ($2,025,000) makes a mid-season or postseason dismissal financially viable.

Fan Heat Level
100% Hot
5 Hot vs. 0 Safe
Contract Stability
Vulnerable Stability
$2,025,000 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
US
Lincoln Riley
USC (Big Ten)
Boiling Hot Seat
The Golden HandcuffsBuyout Lockdown

Fans strongly call for a coaching change (86% Hot), but the massive $50,665,761 buyout creates near-total contractual job stability.

Fan Heat Level
86% Hot
6 Hot vs. 1 Safe
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
$50,665,761 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
FL
Mike Norvell
Florida State (ACC)
Boiling Hot Seat
The Golden HandcuffsBuyout Lockdown

Fans strongly call for a coaching change (83% Hot), but the massive $58,667,708 buyout creates near-total contractual job stability.

Fan Heat Level
83% Hot
5 Hot vs. 1 Safe
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
$58,667,708 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
AR
Butch Jones
Arkansas State (Group of 5)
Boiling Hot Seat
Imminent Firing WatchHigh Critical Exposure

High fan pressure (80% Hot) combined with an accessible buyout ($2,245,833) makes a mid-season or postseason dismissal financially viable.

Fan Heat Level
80% Hot
4 Hot vs. 1 Safe
Contract Stability
Vulnerable Stability
$2,245,833 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
CL
Dabo Swinney
Clemson (ACC)
Boiling Hot Seat
The Golden HandcuffsBuyout Lockdown

Fans strongly call for a coaching change (80% Hot), but the massive $60,000,000 buyout creates near-total contractual job stability.

Fan Heat Level
80% Hot
4 Hot vs. 1 Safe
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
$60,000,000 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
VI
Tony Elliott
Virginia (ACC)
Boiling Hot Seat
Balanced EquilibriumStandard Tension

Moderate job stability and balanced fan sentiment keep this coaching situation in watchful equilibrium.

Fan Heat Level
80% Hot
4 Hot vs. 1 Safe
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
$11,175,000 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
FL
Jon Sumrall
Florida (SEC)
Seat Is Safe
Program PillarFortified & Backed

The fan base is firmly supportive (67% Safe), and the university has secured the coach with a heavily fortified contract.

Fan Heat Level
33% Hot
2 Hot vs. 4 Safe
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
$41,250,000 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown
OH
Ryan Day
Ohio State (Big Ten)
Seat Is Safe
Program PillarFortified & Backed

The fan base is firmly supportive (71% Safe), and the university has secured the coach with a heavily fortified contract.

Fan Heat Level
29% Hot
2 Hot vs. 5 Safe
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
$70,916,667 Buyout
Full Contract Breakdown

Consensus Building (Working Toward 5 Votes)

Coaches with active community engagement. Vote now to unlock their official Hot Seat status.

31 Active
Big Ten
4 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 4 votes cast so far.

Matt Campbell
Penn State
Buyout to Fire
$70,500,000
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
ACC
3 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 3 votes cast so far.

Jake Dickert
Wake Forest
Buyout to Fire
$3,686,243
Contract Stability
Vulnerable Stability
Group of 5
3 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 3 votes cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$11,165,000
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
SEC
3 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 3 votes cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$105,107,583
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
Group of 5
2 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 2 votes cast so far.

G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Buyout to Fire
$9,553,125
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
Big Ten
2 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 2 votes cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$25,729,167
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
Independent
2 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 2 votes cast so far.

Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
Buyout to Fire
$19,981,876
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
Group of 5
2 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 2 votes cast so far.

Neal Brown
North Texas
Buyout to Fire
$6,500,000
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
Big 12
2 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 2 votes cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$12,968,225
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Blake Anderson
Southern Miss
Buyout to Fire
$3,500,000
Contract Stability
Vulnerable Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$25,000,000
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
SEC
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$36,158,333
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$1,200,000
Contract Stability
Fragile Stability
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Casey Woods
Missouri State
Buyout to Fire
$2,500,000
Contract Stability
Vulnerable Stability
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan
Buyout to Fire
$1,500,000
Contract Stability
Fragile Stability
SEC
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
Buyout to Fire
$9,992,382
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$93,000,000
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$56,733,333
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

David Braun
Northwestern
Buyout to Fire
$19,761,191
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Eddie George
Bowling Green
Buyout to Fire
$1,676,220
Contract Stability
Fragile Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Jedd Fisch
Washington
Buyout to Fire
$33,686,666
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Jeff Monken
Army West Point
Buyout to Fire
$7,700,000
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
SEC
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$67,500,000
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Kirby Moore
Washington State
Buyout to Fire
$7,500,000
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Matt Rhule
Nebraska
Buyout to Fire
$49,612,500
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
Big Ten
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
Buyout to Fire
$26,600,000
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
Big 12
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$12,008,333
Contract Stability
Moderate Stability
SEC
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Shane Beamer
South Carolina
Buyout to Fire
$27,903,958
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
SEC
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Buyout to Fire
$60,307,500
Contract Stability
Ironclad Stability
ACC
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Tosh Lupoi
California
Buyout to Fire
$16,000,000
Contract Stability
Heavily Fortified
Group of 5
1 / 5 Votes

Hot Seat score requires at least 5 votes to show, only 1 vote cast so far.

Tyson Helton
Western Kentucky
Buyout to Fire
$2,916,007
Contract Stability
Vulnerable Stability

Contract Job Stability Spectrum

Ranked by the institutional buyout firewall that athletic departments must pay if terminating without cause.

5🛡️

Level 5: Ironclad Stability (Buyouts > $35M)

Astronomical termination penalties creating near-total contractual job security.

Brent Venables
Oklahoma (SEC)
Ironclad
Buyout to Fire:$36,158,333
Bret Bielema
Illinois (Big Ten)
Ironclad
Buyout to Fire:$49,491,667
Curt Cignetti
Indiana (Big Ten)
Ironclad
Buyout to Fire:$93,000,000
Dabo Swinney
Clemson (ACC)
Ironclad
Buyout to Fire:$60,000,000
Dan Lanning
Oregon (Big Ten)
Ironclad
Buyout to Fire:$56,733,333
James Franklin
Virginia Tech (ACC)
Ironclad
Buyout to Fire:$35,000,000
4🛡️

Level 4: Heavily Fortified (Buyouts $15M – $35M)

Major financial hurdles requiring major donor coordination to contemplate a dismissal.

Alex Golesh
Auburn (SEC)
Fortified
Buyout to Fire:$32,000,000
Barry Odom
Purdue (Big Ten)
Fortified
Buyout to Fire:$25,125,000
Bill Belichick
North Carolina (ACC)
Fortified
Buyout to Fire:$20,833,333
Bob Chesney
UCLA (Big Ten)
Fortified
Buyout to Fire:$25,000,000
Collin Klein
Kansas State (Big 12)
Fortified
Buyout to Fire:$20,000,000
David Braun
Northwestern (Big Ten)
Fortified
Buyout to Fire:$19,761,191